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Market Review for January 30th 2026. 2.50% Tax-Free Locked In! ๐Ÿš€

Stephen avatar
Shared by Stephen โ€ข January 30, 2026

Hi there,

US 500 Put Expiration โœ…

Excellent news to close out the week! Our short 6500 Put is expiring worthless today. Because we sold this option, the zero value secures our full profit of circa 2.5%. The position will drop off the account automaticallyโ€”no manual closing trades are necessary. Same with XSP/SPY. We generated an ROI of 1.3% in just 10 days!


๐Ÿ† Active Trade Tracker

  • US 500 (IG): +2.50% Tax Free Expiring Today
  • S&P 500 (IBKR): +1.30% Expiring Today
  • TLT (Bonds): +0.33% (Target: 1.00%) | Steady support

META: Why Weโ€™re Holding After the Post-Earnings Pop

We are pleased to report that our investment in META is now up 26% just three months after our initial entry. Following an impressive 8% post-earnings surge, we remain firmly committed to our position.

While Q4 earnings were excellent, managementโ€™s aggressive AI spending forecast for 2026 may lead to a period of "digestion" in the share price over the coming weeks. We view any potential retracement not as a red flag, but as a gift for those who missed the initial move.

The Outlook:

  • New Price Target: $846 (representing 14.5% further upside).
  • Forward Momentum: With sales and EPS forecasts likely to be revised upward by the Street in the coming weeks, we anticipate our target price may climb even higher.

We have no intention of selling; the long-term AI thesis is only getting stronger.


๐Ÿš€ Portfolio Spotlight: Alphabet (GOOGL)

We want to highlight Alphabet (GOOGL), which is now up 121% since we bought it last May.

  • The Strategy: While we are approaching our target selling price, we will continue to hold. We foresee further analyst upgrades to both price targets and sales estimates as Gemini 3 and the Apple AI partnership scale.
  • Earnings Watch: Alphabet reports earnings next Wednesday, February 4. We are riding this higher, but if any pullback occurs after earnings, we would view it as a prime buying opportunity.
  • Note: We would not be buyers of the stock at these current record-high prices.

๐Ÿ“‹ Long-Term Buy Watchlist Update

  • Watchlist Changes: We are removing AMD, ANET, and CCL from our watchlist. Their share prices have jumped significantly; we didn't pull the trigger early enough, and they have moved up too much for our current entry criteria. We are replacing them with NVDA.
  • Current Watchlist: NVDA, CRM, ORCL, PYPL.
  • DELL Update: A major update on DELL. The stock has now broken out of its recent short-term downtrend. We believe DELL offers great value below $120 and, provided it remains outside that downtrend, we intend to initiate a position early next week.

Reminder: This watchlist is for high-quality companies we are getting ready to buy for our long-term portfolio (more than 3 years), but we are not ready to act on them just yet as we wait for technical downtrends to exhaust.


Market Review for Thursday, January 29, 2026

Overview: The day was defined by "AI spend anxiety." While Microsoft beat earnings, investors punished its heavy AI capex. Conversely, Metaโ€™s AI-driven ad growth sent its stock soaring. In commodities, a "flash crash" in metals saw gold and silver drop 10% from record highs in a single hour of chaotic profit-taking.

๐Ÿ›๏ธ FX & Crypto Review

  • EUR/USD: Eased slightly to 1.1965 as the Dollar found late-day support.
  • Bitcoin (BTC): Plunged -5.5% to $84,000, dragging the sector lower.
  • XRP: Remained under pressure, consolidating below $1.90.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Major Indices & Commodities

  • S&P 500: Slipped -0.13%, closing at 6,969.01.
  • Nasdaq Composite: Fell -0.72%, finishing at 23,685.12.
  • Dow Jones Industrial Average: Inched up +0.11%, closing at 49,071.56.
  • Gold: Highly volatile; hit $5,600 before a flash crash to settle near $5,400.
  • Silver: Retreated from $121 to settle at $116.00.
  • WTI Crude Oil: Jumped +4.0% to $65.60 on rising US-Iran tensions.

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Happy Investing

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