Hi there,

Yesterday, Tuesday, February 10, 2026, Wall Street saw a mixed session as the major indices drifted after flirting with record territory. While the Dow Jones notched its third consecutive record close, the Nasdaq and S&P 500 faced pressure from a cooling retail sales report and renewed scrutiny of Big Tech’s massive AI capital expenditures.

🚀 Daily Alpha Report: Beating the S&P by 3.65%

We are clinical right now. While the index is up +1.41% YTD, our US 500 Challenge is up +5.06%. That’s a massive 3.65% lead in just 5 weeks!

Here is your daily "Set & Forget" status:

📊 ACTIVE TRADE TRACKER (No Action Required on any trades today):

US 500 (IG Index) | Feb 27th 6400 Put

• Current: +2.6% ROI
• Target: +4.0% at expiry

XSP (IBKR) | Feb 27th $640 Put

• Current: +1.26% ROI
• Target: +2.07% at expiry

TLT (IBKR) | Feb 20th $86 Put

• Current: +0.79% ROI
• Target: 0.85% (Nearly Full Profit!)

🏆 YEAR-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE

• US 500 Challenge: +5.06% (Vs S&P +1.41%)
• IBKR Portfolio: +3.35% (Vs S&P +1.41%)

The Strategy: We are currently in the "harvesting phase." We are letting time decay (Theta) do the heavy lifting. Stay disciplined and let the math work for you!

📋 Long-Term Buy Watchlist Update

Yesterday’s rotation showed a clear distinction between hardware resilience and software uncertainty.

• DELL, NVDA & AMD: DELL was a massive standout yesterday, surging +4.22% to close at $126.01, continuing to consolidate and push higher above its recent downtrend. NVDA saw a minor pullback of -0.75% to $188.61, which we view as a healthy entry opportunity. We anticipate adding these to our long-term portfolio this week on pullbacks.
• Wait & See: For CRM, PYPL, and ORCL, we remain patient. While ORCL added another +2.08% yesterday to reach $159.85, we want to see CRM and PYPL stop making lower lows and establish a firm base before committing capital.

📅 Market Review for Tuesday, February 10, 2026

Overview: Stagnant retail sales data for December missed economist forecasts, raising expectations for a potential Federal Reserve rate cut later this year. This "bad news is good news" dynamic helped the Dow reach a new record, though tech shares were weighed down by the sheer scale of projected 2026 AI spending.

🏛️ FX & Crypto Review

• Bitcoin (BTC): Fell -2.86% to close near $68,728. Crypto continues to struggle with month-to-date outflows, currently down about 11% in February.
• EUR/USD: Approached yearly highs, trading near 1.1810 as Treasury yields sank following the weak retail data.
• XRP: Faced mild pressure alongside BTC, trading near $1.38.

📈 Major Indices & Commodities

• S&P 500: Slipped -0.33%, closing at 6,941.81.
• Nasdaq Composite: Fell -0.59%, finishing at 23,102.47.
• Dow Jones Industrial Average: Edged up +0.10%, closing at a record 50,188.15.
• Gold: Rose to $4,975 per ounce as yields dropped.
• Silver: Maintained a base near $88.00 per ounce.
• WTI Crude Oil: Slipped slightly to $64.34 per barrel as geopolitical tensions hit a temporary lull.

📊 Specific Stock Performance (Verified Closing Prices)

• DELL (Dell Technologies): Up +4.22% ($126.01). A leader in the hardware space, showing strong accumulation.
• ORCL (Oracle): Up +2.08% ($159.85). Continuing its momentum from Monday’s analyst upgrade.
• NVDA (Nvidia): Down -0.75% ($188.61). Watchlist: Consolidating; we are looking for our entry point this week.
• GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.): Down -1.77% ($318.58). Hit by bond-sale headlines and AI spend concerns.
• COST (Costco): Down -3.00%. Dragged down by the disappointing retail sales report.

📞 Strategy Call Assistance

If you require assistance with trade setup, risk management, or strategy review, please schedule a strategy call.

• PREMIUM Plan Members: Strategy calls are included in your plan.
• All Other Members: Strategy calls can be scheduled at a rate of €100 per half hour.

Happy Investing

Share Navigator Support

www.sharenavigator.ie

Hi there,

Yesterday, Monday, February 9, 2026, Wall Street saw a resilient performance as the blue-chip Dow Jones Industrial Average notched its second consecutive close above the historic 50,000 mark. Technology shares led a broad rally, with AI-linked names driving the Nasdaq higher as investors braced for a heavy week of economic data.

📉 S&P 500 Active Trade Tracker

The trade has swung into a 2.55% ROI since we placed the trade just one week ago. We are also on track to deliver the full 4% ROI by the end of February. There is nothing to do with this trade, which now has a 98% probability of profit!

Crucially, the Index at 6,964 remains well above our 6,400 strike and our 6,376.31 breakeven. The index would need to fall another 8% before we would face a loss on Feb 27th. We are letting the accelerated premium decay do the work for us. No action required.

📋 Long-Term Buy Watchlist Update

Yesterday’s rotation into tech provided a clear sign of where the "smart money" is moving.

• DELL, NVDA & AMD: These remain our primary targets. NVDA surged +2.50% to close at $190.04, showing strong momentum. DELL held steady at $120.91, consolidating beautifully above its recent breakout point. AMD also saw a positive session as it recovers toward its moving averages. We anticipate adding these to our long-term buy-and-hold portfolio in the coming days as the consolidation patterns complete.
• Wait & See: For CRM, PYPL, and ORCL, we are seeing mixed signals. ORCL was the star of the day, soaring +9.66% to $156.61 following a major analyst upgrade. We are watching for this to stop making lower highs and establish a firm base before we commit.

🚀 Portfolio Spotlight: Alphabet (GOOGL)

Alphabet finished the day at $324.12. While it has pulled back from its all-time highs of $343 seen last week, it remains up approximately 120% since our purchase last May.

• The Strategy: We continue to hold. We view this current breather as healthy consolidation after a massive run.
• Note: As previously mentioned, we are not buyers at these levels, but we remain long and will ride the stock higher.

📅 Market Review for Monday, February 9, 2026

Overview: Tech stocks stole the spotlight as Oracle's massive gain boosted the software sector. The Dow's ability to hold the 50,000 level is a significant psychological win for the bulls, even as traders remain cautious ahead of upcoming inflation and jobs reports.

🏛️ FX & Crypto Review

• Bitcoin (BTC): Showed remarkable resilience, holding steady near $69,894 despite a broader sense of "extreme fear" in the crypto sentiment indices.
• EUR/USD: Rose to 1.1883 as the Dollar faced mild selling pressure.
• XRP: Traded near $1.42, showing strength amid discussions of its utility in cross-border trade.

📈 Major Indices & Commodities

• S&P 500: Gained +0.47%, closing at 6,964.82.
• Nasdaq Composite: Rose +0.90%, finishing at 23,238.67.
• Dow Jones Industrial Average: Inched up +0.04%, closing at a record 50,135.87.
• Gold: Steady at $5,050.90 per ounce.
• Silver: Consolidated at $82.07 per ounce.
• WTI Crude Oil: Traded higher for a third session, settling near $64.29 per barrel on Iran-US tensions.

📊 Specific Stock Performance (Verified Closing Prices)

• ORCL (Oracle): Up +9.66% ($156.61). The day's big winner following a D.A. Davidson upgrade to "Buy."
• NVDA (Nvidia): Up +2.50% ($190.04). Rebounding strongly after last week's dip.
• DELL (Dell Technologies): Down -0.12% ($120.91). Consolidating perfectly above its recent downtrend.
• GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.): Up +0.39% ($324.12). A quiet session after the post-earnings volatility.
• META (Meta Platforms): Up +2.43% ($677.53). Regaining momentum as ad-revenue optimism persists.

🎟️ The Golden Ticket Referral (Exclusive Extension)

Success is better shared. Because we value customer loyalty above all else, we want to give your friends a head start that isn't available to the general public.

Normally, we offer a 1-week trial. However, because they are referred by a member like you, we are increasing their Free Trial from 1 week to 4 weeks (a €99 value) on the Pro Plan.

Note: This extended 4-week trial is exclusive to referrals. It is our way of rewarding the community and ensuring your friends have enough time to see the results of our high-probability trades.

• For Them: 4 Weeks of Pro Mentoring for FREE (No credit card required).
• For You: €99 OFF your next renewal once they join.

👉 https://buy.stripe.com/6oEcNid72fNIeJydQZ

📞 Strategy Call Assistance

If you require assistance with trade setup, risk management, or strategy review, please schedule a strategy call.

• PREMIUM Plan Members: Strategy calls are included in your plan.
• All Other Members: Strategy calls can be scheduled at a rate of €100 per half hour.

Happy Investing

Share Navigator Support

www.sharenavigator.ie

Hi there,

Yesterday, Thursday, February 5, 2026, Wall Street suffered its sharpest sell-off of the year as a "risk-off" contagion swept through nearly every asset class. A disappointing jobs report, coupled with aggressive AI spending plans from Big Tech, sparked a broad liquidation that sent the Dow tumbling nearly 600 points and pushed Bitcoin into a temporary flash crash.

📉 S&P 500 Active Trade Tracker

The trade has swung into a temporary paper loss following yesterday's volatility. However, we remain fully confident in achieving our 4% ROI by month-end.

Yesterday’s sell-off in the S&P 500 spiked Implied Volatility (IV); as this fear subsides and IV drops, our position will benefit significantly from accelerated premium decay. Crucially, the Index at 6,798 remains well above our 6,400 strike and our 6,376.31 breakeven. The index needs to fall another 6% before we would lose on Feb 27th, and that is why the Probability of Profit (POP) remains robust at circa 90%. No action required.

📋 Long-Term Buy Watchlist Update

• DELL, NVDA & AMD: All three semiconductor and hardware leaders became notably "cheaper" yesterday. NVDA fell to $171.88, AMD dropped to $192.50, and DELL closed at $116.70. We are closely monitoring this price action and anticipate adding all three to our long-term buy-and-hold portfolio in the coming days as they find technical support.
• Wait & See: For CRM, PYPL, and ORCL, we are remaining patient. We need to see these names stop making lower lows and begin a period of technical consolidation before we commit capital.

📅 Market Review for Thursday, February 5, 2026

Overview: Fear gripped the markets on Thursday as the 10-year Treasury yield sank to 4.20% following a weak jobs report. Investors are increasingly wary of the massive AI capital expenditures ($180B+) announced by Alphabet and Meta, fearing that near-term cash flows will be strained before the AI "payoff" fully arrives.

🏛️ FX & Crypto Review

• Bitcoin (BTC): Experienced a dramatic session, flash-crashing toward $60,000 overnight before recovering to settle near $64,000. The move was exacerbated by record daily volume in spot ETFs and heavy liquidations.
• EUR/USD: Rose to 1.1965 as the Dollar weakened in response to the sinking Treasury yields.

📈 Major Indices & Commodities

• S&P 500: Fell -1.23%, closing at 6,797.54.
• Nasdaq Composite: Tumbled -1.57%, finishing at 22,544.25.
• Dow Jones Industrial Average: Plunged -1.22% (approx. 600 points), closing at 48,897.51.
• Gold: Declined -1.2% to settle at $4,889.50 per ounce.
• Silver: Dropped significantly to settle at $76.06 per ounce, continuing its volatile retreat from late-January highs.
• WTI Crude Oil: Settled near $63.10 per barrel.

📊 Specific Stock Performance (Verified Closing Prices)

• GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.): Down -0.54% ($331.25). Initially dropped 4% post-earnings but rallied back to near breakeven as investors digested its $180B AI spend plan.
• META (Meta Platforms): Up +0.18% ($670.21). Showed remarkable relative strength, finishing green despite the broader tech rout.
• DELL (Dell Technologies): Down -4.38% ($116.70). Watchlist: Swept up in the hardware sell-off; we are watching for a base here.
• NVDA (Nvidia): Down -1.33% ($171.88). Watchlist: Facing pressure but holding up better than speculative software.
• CRM (Salesforce): Down -6.09% ($214.06). Watchlist: Continues to lead the software sector lower.

🎟️ The Golden Ticket Referral (Exclusive Extension)

Success is better shared. Because we value customer loyalty above all else, we want to give your friends a head start that isn't available to the general public.

Normally, we offer a 1-week trial. However, because they are referred by a member like you, we are increasing their Free Trial from 1 week to 4 weeks (a €99 value) on the Pro Plan.

Note: This extended 4-week trial is exclusive to referrals. It is our way of rewarding the community and ensuring your friends have enough time to see the results of our high-probability trades.

• For Them: 4 Weeks of Pro Mentoring for FREE (No credit card required).
• For You: €99 OFF your next renewal once they join.

👉 https://buy.stripe.com/6oEcNid72fNIeJydQZ

📞 Strategy Call Assistance

If you require assistance with trade setup, risk management, or strategy review, please schedule a strategy call.

• PREMIUM Plan Members: Strategy calls are included in your plan.
• All Other Members: Strategy calls can be scheduled at a rate of €100 per half hour.

Happy Investing

Share Navigator Support

www.sharenavigator.ie

Hi there,

Meeting Recording

Note: Summary notes of the meeting are below the video in this article.

Details

• Session Opening and Market Conditions Stephen Cox noted that the futures were down, which was beneficial for the US 500 and XSP trades, and stated they would begin by discussing risk management and the differences between SPY and XSP, encouraging participants to ask questions (00:00:00).
• SPY vs. XSP Options Explained Stephen Cox differentiated between SPY, an exchange-traded fund that tracks the S\&P 500 and is physically settled, meaning assignment of shares is possible if a short put option is in the money at expiration (00:00:59), and XSP, which is cash settled and does not involve share assignment. Stephen Cox also mentioned that XSP has lower margin requirements due to the lack of assignment risk (00:02:53). Stephen Vajda added that SPY is American style, allowing assignment before expiration, while XSP is European style, settling only at expiration, though Stephen Cox clarified that XSP can still be closed before expiration (00:04:03).
• Premiums and Margin on SPY and XSP In response to a question from Roy Tyrrell about premiums, Stephen Cox compared a short 650 put on SPY with a margin impact of $10,700 and a premium of 265 (based on the previous day's close) (00:05:06), to the same put on XSP with a margin impact of $6,800 (00:06:06). Stephen Cox explained that XSP premiums are generally slightly lower due to no assignment risk and less margin requirement. They also noted that having a trade open on Interactive Brokers incurs interest on the margin amount (00:07:12).
• Target Returns and Interactive Brokers vs. IG Index Stephen Cox addressed Roy Tyrrell's question about target returns, stating that the return is slightly less on a $10,000 account using XSP compared to IG index. Stephen Cox is targeting 20% for the year using Interactive Brokers for the same strategy applied on IG index, which they noted offers more "bang for your buck" due to tax-free spread betting (00:08:13). Stephen Cox further explained to Stephen Vajda that interest charges show up in the account's activity statement under "Interest Payments and Accruals" (00:09:21).
• Risk Management and Rolling Out and Down Strategy Stephen Cox discussed how to manage trades when they move against the position, noting that the short 650 put trade was showing a temporary half a percent loss (00:10:25). They emphasized that the probability of success remains high, but advised preparing for the unlikely scenario by learning to "roll out and down," which is outlined in the courses (00:11:35). The strategy involves buying out of the current contract (e.g., February 650 put at a cost of $28) and opening a new contract further out in time and lower in strike (e.g., selling the March 6,000 put) for an additional credit, thus lowering the break-even point (00:12:34).
• Applying the Risk Management Strategy Stephen Cox stressed that the key to managing the short put strategy on an index is to roll out and down before the underlying price drops below the strike price (00:14:46). They suggested setting a trigger point for rolling, such as 100 points above the strike price (e.g., 6,500 for a 6,400 strike), and demonstrated how to set an alert in IG index for the US 500 (00:15:46). Stephen Cox emphasized that this proactive approach provides a risk management plan and ensures a substantial "wiggle room" against a margin call (00:16:47).
• Discussion on Margin Levels and Volatility in Trading Roy Tyrrell asked if a 70% margin usage was too high, to which Stephen Cox responded that 60% is a preferred ceiling for protection, noting that higher margin usage equates to higher risk (00:16:47). Michael Carroll shared a successful experience of day-trading the put options due to volatility, selling a put when premiums went up to 425 and closing it for a return of 120 as premiums dropped, which Stephen Cox validated as acceptable for those with time, though they personally prefer letting options run to expiry (00:18:43).
• Strategic Strike Selection for Rolling Out and Down Stephen Gavin inquired about the necessity of choosing a new strike price that matches the cost of exiting the current position when rolling out and down (00:20:43). Stephen Cox clarified that while their general strategy is to aim for the lowest break-even point possible for nervous traders (00:21:33), a trader could choose a higher strike (e.g., 6,200 instead of 6,000) to generate a larger additional credit if they are confident the market won't fall significantly (00:22:32).
• Impact of Bitcoin and Metals on the S\&P 500 Stephen Cox discussed the relevance of Bitcoin's continued decline and its potential impact on the S\&P 500, noting that a growing cohort of younger traders involved in crypto and possibly using high leverage could face margin calls that necessitate selling stocks, creating a knock-on effect (00:24:23). They also pointed to the sharp sell-off in silver, noting that highly leveraged positions in metals could similarly lead to margin calls affecting the S\&P 500 (00:26:30).
• Analysis of Google and Meta Earnings Stephen Cox analyzed Google's 4% stock drop despite positive earnings, attributing it to the planned increase in AI spending, similar to Meta, which was not initially punished (00:28:40). Stephen Cox views the substantial AI investment as a positive long-term development, suggesting that any sell-off in Meta and Google should be viewed as a buying opportunity (00:29:39).
• Semiconductor and Tech Stock Opportunities Stephen Cox identified Nvidia as a potential beneficiary of the increased AI spending by Google and Meta, suggesting that the fear of slowing spending for the chip seller is unwarranted and viewing the current price near a support level as a buying opportunity (00:30:46). They mentioned that AMD was "crushed" after earnings but their models still show significant upside for both AMD and Nvidia (00:31:49). Stephen Cox suggested splitting bets between Nvidia and AMD when initiating a position (00:33:03).
• Dell, Oracle, and Lyft/Uber Outlook Stephen Cox expressed interest in buying Dell stock if the price returns to between 115 and 116, noting that the increased spending news is positive for Dell (00:33:03). They advised waiting on Oracle and Salesforce until their downtrends end. Stephen Cox is also watching Uber and Lyft, which are starting to pull back, and suggested splitting investment between them due to their differing business models and market concentrations (00:34:07).
• Summary of Stock Watchlist and Long-Term Trading Advice Stephen Cox summarized that they are preparing to pull the trigger on Nvidia and AMD soon, are very interested in Dell at the right price, and have no immediate interest in CRM or Oracle. In response to Stephen Vajda, Stephen Cox advised holding Dell stock (or LEAPs with a far expiry) for the long term but suggested considering offloading or selling a call against a LEAP if the RSI reaches 70 (00:36:05). Stephen Cox also confirmed to Richard Fitzgerald that buying Meta to dollar-cost average is advisable, as they project strong growth for the stock (00:38:01).
• Volatility and Option Pricing Stephen Cox confirmed to Stephen Gavin that if the US 500 remains above the short put's strike price at expiry, the option will expire worthless, resulting in full profit (00:41:13). They explained that high implied volatility (VIX) causes option premiums to rise, but if the market settles, the VIX drops, and the option's value disintegrates, which benefits the option seller (00:42:12). Michael Carroll added that the VIX spiking presents a great timing opportunity to sell options (00:45:10).
• Closing Remarks and Resource Reminder Stephen Cox concluded the meeting by reiterating the benefits of their options strategy, which avoids major losses during market downturns (00:44:13). They reminded attendees to use the Quant AI tool for questions and to ask for a human agent if needed (00:46:13).

📞 Strategy Call Assistance

If you require assistance with trade setup, risk management, or strategy review, please schedule a strategy call.

• PREMIUM Plan Members: Strategy calls are included in your plan.
• All Other Members: Strategy calls can be scheduled at a rate of €100 per half hour.

Happy Investing

Share Navigator Support

www.sharenavigator.ie

Hi there,

Yesterday, Tuesday, February 3, 2026, Wall Street faced a significant pullback as a sudden spike in Treasury yields and a broad sell-off in software and fintech stocks weighed on the major indices.

🚀 Stock Trade Exit: Alaska Air Group (ALK)

We have officially exited our short-term position in Alaska Airlines, realizing a 14.12% gain over the last 4 months. While the trade took longer than initially expected, it was a fantastic lesson in trusting value fundamentals and remaining patient. Congratulations to everyone who followed this trade!

🏆 Active Trade Tracker

We added two new S&P 500 trades yesterday, and we couldn’t have timed our entries any better. These trades had a 96% probability of profit, and we have gone straight into the green as the market bounced off its intraday lows.

• New Trades: Sold the Feb 27th 640 Put (IBKR) and the Feb 27th 6400 Put (IG Index).
• Current Performance: Up 1.46% tax-free in our IG Index account and 0.62% in our IBKR account. We will continue to hold these to expiry.

📋 Long-Term Buy Watchlist Update

Yesterday’s sell-off provided a great opportunity as several of our targets became "cheaper."

• DELL & NVDA: After yesterday’s dip, both stocks are looking very attractive. We anticipate adding these to our long-term buy-and-hold portfolio in the coming days.
• Wait & See: For CRM, PYPL, and ORCL, we are still waiting for them to stop making lower lows and begin a period of consolidation before we move.

📅 Market Review for Tuesday February 3, 2026

Overview: The Nasdaq suffered its worst daily percentage decline in weeks as software names tumbled. Concerns over AI-driven automation disrupting traditional software business models (following news from Anthropic) and a multi-month high in the 10-year Treasury yield created a perfect storm for growth stocks.

🏛️ FX & Crypto Review

• EUR/USD: Slipped to 1.1810 as the US Dollar strengthened on rising yields.
• Bitcoin (BTC): Faced selling pressure, dropping to $77,450.
• XRP: Retreated slightly but held support near $1.81.

📈 Major Indices & Commodities

• S&P 500: Fell -0.84%, closing at 6,917.38.
• Nasdaq Composite: Tumbled -1.43%, finishing at 23,255.91.
• Dow Jones Industrial Average: Slipped -0.34%, closing at 49,240.99.
• Gold: Rose to $4,973 per ounce as geopolitical fears in the Middle East returned.
• Silver: Gained significantly to settle near $88.50 per ounce.
• WTI Crude Oil: Jumped over 2% to $63.80 per barrel.

📊 Specific Stock Performance (Verified Closing Prices)

• GOOGL (Alphabet Inc.): Down -1.16% ($339.71). Pulled back from its all-time high ahead of today's earnings report.
• NVDA (Nvidia): Down -2.84% ($180.34). Watchlist: One of the tech laggards yesterday; we are watching for a entry point this week.
• DELL (Dell Technologies): Down -1.69% ($117.15). Watchlist: Holding its ground better than the high-beta software names.
• PYPL (PayPal): Down -20.11% ($42.10). Watchlist: Suffered a massive crash following a disappointing earnings outlook.
• CRM (Salesforce): Down -6.98% ($284.40). Watchlist: Hit hard by the broader software sector rout.
• ORCL (Oracle): Down -2.62% ($164.58). Watchlist: Continued its slide toward key support levels.

🎟️ The Golden Ticket Referral (Exclusive Extension)

Success is better shared. Because we value customer loyalty above all else, we want to give your friends a head start that isn't available to the general public.

Normally, we offer a 1-week trial. However, because they are referred by a member like you, we are increasing their Free Trial from 1 week to 4 weeks (a €99 value) on the Pro Plan.

Note: This extended 4-week trial is exclusive to referrals. It is our way of rewarding the community and ensuring your friends have enough time to see the results of our high-probability trades.

• For Them: 4 Weeks of Pro Mentoring for FREE (No credit card required).
• For You: €99 OFF your next renewal once they join.

👉 https://buy.stripe.com/6oEcNid72fNIeJydQZ

📞 Strategy Call Assistance

If you require assistance with trade setup, risk management, or strategy review, please schedule a strategy call.

• PREMIUM Plan Members: Strategy calls are included in your plan.
• All Other Members: Strategy calls can be scheduled at a rate of €100 per half hour.

Happy Investing

Share Navigator Support

www.sharenavigator.ie

Hi there,

Status: CLOSED, XSP (S&P 500) Short Put

TRADE FINALIZED: US 500 Index Short Put Targeting consistent premium income.

I. Trade Details

• Asset: XSP (S&P 500)
• Strike Price: 640
• Expiry Date: Feb 27th
• Closing Date: Feb 18th

II. Financial Result

• Action: Buy to Close (BTC)
• Entry Premium (Received): $207
• Exit Premium (Paid): $49
• Net Profit/Loss: $158 (1.58%)

III. Performance Summary

• Exit Reason: 75% of Max profit achieved.
• Total Days Held: 15 days
• Return on Portfolio Size: 1.58%

IV. Strategy Review

• Market Notes: Index stayed above strike as expected
• Rule Adherence: All risk management guidelines were followed.

📝 Live Trade Log & Updates:

• Feb 18th: Trade closed as we achieved 75% of Max Profit. ROI 1.58%.
• Feb 18th: Up 1.37%. No action required.
• Feb 17th: Up 0.71%. No action required.
• Feb 14th: Up 0.59%. No action required. S&P 500 remains 6.5% above breakeven.
• Feb 13th: Up 0.39%. No action required. S&P 500 closed down 1.5% yesterday but this trade still has a 94% probability of profit. The index still remains 6.5% above our breakeven price.
• Feb 12th: Up 1.39%. No action required.
• Feb 11th: Up 1.26%. No action required.
• Feb 10th: No action required.
• Feb 9th: Up 1.32%. nothing to do. Leaving this trade run to expiry.
• Feb 7th: Up 0.9%. Nothing to do. Leaving this trade run to expiry.
• Feb 6th 11.45 ET: S&P 500 moves higher on this trade swings back into profit. Up 0.6%. We will continue to hold until expiry where we expect to make a 2.07% ROI.
• Feb 6th: The trade has swung into a temporary paper loss following yesterday's volatility. However, we remain fully confident in achieving our 2.07% ROI by month-end. Yesterday’s sell-off in the S&P 500 spiked implied volatility (IV); as this fear subsides and IV drops, our position will benefit significantly from accelerated premium decay. Crucially, the Index remains well above our 640 strike and our 637.93 breakeven, with the Probability of Profit (POP) remaining robust at circa 90%. No action required

• Feb 5th: No action required.
• Feb 4th: XSP has rebounded nicely since we placed the trade. Up 0.62% in less than 1 day. We will let this trade run to expiry.

⚙️ Opening Trade information: Strategy & Risk Management

This strategy is return-based with unlimited risk, relying on margin - Traditional Options on IBKR.

I. Setup & Rationale

• Underlying Ticker: SPY (S&P 500 ETF) - also XSP for smaller account sizes
• Current XSP Price: $690
• Market Outlook: Strong Bullish/Neutral - A significant drop is not expected.
• Goal of Trade: Maximum Premium Income / Return on Margin (RoM)
• Probability of Profit (PoP): 96% (this is the main attraction of the strategy)

II. The Trade Details

• Action: Sell to Open (STO) 1 Naked Put Option
• Strike Price: $640
• Expiration Date (DTE): Feb 27th 2026
• Premium Collected: $2.07 per share
• Total Premium Collected per contract: $207

III. Risk & Profit Metrics

• Maximum Profit: (The credit collected) $207
• Breakeven Price: $637.93. (We need the stock price to remain above to price at EXPIRATION to make a profit)
• Initial Margin Required: $6,000 (But this depends on numerous factors such as your account size and other positions in your account).
• Potential Loss: unlimited...losses continue to increase as the share price falls further below break even.

IV. Trade Management & Exit Plan

• Take Profit: Leave expire worthless.
• Trade Mgt (Critical): If SPY share price gets within 1% of strike price we will immediately roll out to the next monthly expiry and down to a strike price that gives us at least a $0.01 cent credit. As it stands now we could roll down to end of February to below the $610 strike.

📞 Strategy Call Assistance

If you require assistance with trade setup, risk management, or strategy review, please schedule a strategy call.

• PREMIUM Plan Members: Strategy calls are included in your plan.
• All Other Members: Strategy calls can be scheduled at a rate of €100 per half hour.

Please note: This is an educational exercise using a demo account. Share Navigator does not provide financial advice.

Happy Investing

Share Navigator Support

www.sharenavigator.ie

STATUS: CLOSED US 500 Index Short Put

TRADE FINALIZED: US 500 Index Short Put

I. Trade Details

• Asset: US 500 Index (IG Index)
• Strike Price: 6400
• Expiry Date: Feb 27th
• Closing Date: Feb 18th

II. Financial Result

• Action: Buy to Close (BTC)
• Entry Premium (Received): $473.80
• Exit Premium (Paid): $117.40
• Net Profit/Loss: $356.40 (€298.80)

III. Performance Summary

• Exit Reason: 75% of Max Profit Achieved
• Total Days Held: 15 days
• Return on Portfolio: 2.98%

IV. Strategy Review

• Market Notes: Index stayed above strike as expected

Rule Adherence: All risk management guidelines were followed.

📝 Live Trade Log

Daily updates and management actions.

• Feb 18th: Closed trade for a realised gain of 2.98% in just 1 days - tax free for residents of YK and Ireland.
• Feb 18th: Up 2.82%. No action required.
• Feb 17th: Up 1.51%. No action required.
• Feb 14th: Up 1.39%. No action required. S&P closed flat today. We remain 6.5% above our breakeven price.
• Feb 13th: Up 0.98%. No action required. S&P 500 closed down 1.5% yesterday but this trade still has a 94% probability of profit. The index still remains 6.5% above our breakeven price.
• Feb 12th: Up 2.8%. No action required.
• Feb 11th: Up 2.6%. No action required.
• Feb 10th: Up 2.55%. No action required.
• Feb 9th: Up 2.67%. Trade going perfectly well. Nothing to do. Let trade run to expiry.
• Feb 7th: Up 1.96% on the trade after a rebound in S&P 500. Nothing to do with this trade. Leaving it run to expiry.
• Feb 6th (11.30 ET): S&P 500 rallies and the trade swings back into a 1.5% profit. Nothing to do with this trade we are still on track to make 4% by the end of February.
• Feb 6th: The trade has swung into a temporary paper loss following yesterday's volatility. However, we remain fully confident in achieving our 4% ROI by month-end. Yesterday’s sell-off in the S&P 500 spiked implied volatility (IV); as this fear subsides and IV drops, our position will benefit significantly from accelerated premium decay. Crucially, the Index remains well above our 6,400 strike and our 6,376.31 breakeven, with the Probability of Profit (POP) remaining robust at circa 90%. No action required.
• Feb 5th: No action required.
• Feb 4th: We got our timing perfect. US 500 has rebounded since we place the trade and we have gone straight into profit of 1.45%. Nothing to do here. Just let Trade Run to expiry.

⚙️ US 500 Strategy & Original Setup

This strategy is for selling a cash-settled short put option on the US 500 Index via the IG options chain. Maximum loss can be significant if not managed correctly. Strictly adhere to risk mgt guidelines.

I. Setup & Rationale

• Account Size: €10K
• Trade Date: Feb 3rd 2026
• Underlying Instrument: US 500 Index Option (S&P 500 Index)
• Current Index Price: 6900
• Market Outlook: Strong Bullish/Neutral - Expected to remain above the strike.
• Goal of Trade: Premium Income Generation
• Probability of Profit: 96% (This is the main attraction in the trade)

II. The Trade Details

• Action: Sell to Open Short Put Option
• Strike Price: 6,400
• Expiration Date: Feb 27th ( 24 Trading Days)
• Premium Collected: $23.69
• Trade Size: 20
• Total Premium Collected: $473.80($23.69*20)

III. Risk & Profit Metrics

• Maximum Profit: $473.80
• Breakeven Price: $6,400 - $23.69 = $6,376.31 (We need the share price to remain above this price at EXPIRATION to make a profit)
• Margin Required: We recommend keeping it to below 60% of account size.
• Maximum Loss: Unlimited - losses can increase the further the share price drops below the breakeven price.

IV. Trade Management & Exit Plan

• Take Profit: Let Trade run to expiry unless we implement our risk management plan between now and expiry.
• Risk Mgt: If Price drops to 6,500 we will roll down to roughly 6000 for the March expiry and generate a net credit.

• If the price gets to within 1% of strike price, we will rollout to next monthly expiry and down to a strike price that gives you a $0.01 minimum credit.
• If price suddenly drops and no rollout can be activated: we may close down the trade and take the loss. We will decide if and when that situation occurs.

📞 Strategy Call Assistance

If you require assistance with trade setup, risk management, or strategy review, please schedule a strategy call.

• PREMIUM Plan Members: Strategy calls are included in your plan.
• All Other Members: Strategy calls can be scheduled at a rate of €100 per half hour.

Please note: This is an educational exercise using a demo account. Share Navigator does not provide financial advice.

Happy Investing

Share Navigator Support

www.sharenavigator.ie

Hi there,

🏆 Active Trade Tracker

• US 500: +2.46 - We are waiting patiently to place our next trade.

• TLT (Bonds): +0.35% (Target: 1.00%) | Steady support

📋 Long-Term Buy Watchlist Update

• Watchlist Changes: We are removing AMD, ANET, and CCL from our watchlist as their recent price jumps moved them beyond our entry criteria. We are replacing them with NVDA.
• Current Watchlist: NVDA, CRM, ORCL, PYPL.
• NVDA Update: We are getting close to buying NVDA, but we are exercising caution as it pulled back slightly yesterday.
• Waiting Room: For CRM, PYPL, and ORCL, we are staying patient and waiting for them to stop making lower lows and show signs of consolidation before we move.
• DELL Update: DELL continues to consolidate above its recent downtrend. It has held its breakout levels remarkably well, and we will most likely buy the stock this week.

🚀 Portfolio Spotlight: Alphabet (GOOGL)

Alphabet hit a new all-time high of $343.69 yesterday and is now up 125% since our purchase last May.

• The Strategy: We are continuing to hold. Earnings are tomorrow, Wednesday, February 4.
• Note: We are not buyers at these record levels. We will hold the stock for the long term but not add further to existing positions.

📅 Market Review for Monday, February 2, 2026

Overview: Positive ISM Manufacturing data (52.6%) showed the U.S. economy remains in growth territory, cooling fears of a hard landing. While tech was split—with Micron surging and Nvidia dipping—the broader market found its footing as the "everything sell-off" in metals took a breather.

🏛️ FX & Crypto Review

• EUR/USD: Rose to 1.1883 as the Dollar Index (DXY) faced slight pressure.
• Bitcoin (BTC): Struggled to reclaim $80,000 after a volatile weekend, currently hovering near $79,500.
• XRP: Remained resilient, trading near $1.85.

📈 Major Indices & Commodities

• S&P 500: Gained +0.54%, closing at 6,976.44.
• Nasdaq Composite: Rose +0.56%, finishing at 23,592.11.
• Dow Jones Industrial Average: Jumped +1.05% (+515 points), closing at 49,407.66.
• Gold: Settled lower at $4,652 per ounce after a wild overnight swing.
• Silver: Stabilized near $80.50 after massive recent volatility.
• WTI Crude Oil: Dropped -4.5% to $62.20 on signs of easing Middle East tensions.

🎟️ The Golden Ticket Referral (Exclusive Extension)

Success is better shared. Because we value customer loyalty above all else, we want to give your friends a head start that isn't available to the general public.

Normally, we offer a 1-week trial. However, because they are referred by a member like you, we are increasing their Free Trial from 1 week to 4 weeks (a €99 value) on the Pro Plan.

Note: This extended 4-week trial is exclusive to referrals. It is our way of rewarding the community and ensuring your friends have enough time to see the results of our high-probability trades.

• For Them: 4 Weeks of Pro Mentoring for FREE (No credit card required).
• For You: €99 OFF your next renewal once they join.

👉 https://buy.stripe.com/6oEcNid72fNIeJydQZ

📞 Strategy Call Assistance

If you require assistance with trade setup, risk management, or strategy review, please schedule a strategy call.

• PREMIUM Plan Members: Strategy calls are included in your plan.
• All Other Members: Strategy calls can be scheduled at a rate of €100 per half hour.

Happy Investing

Share Navigator Support

www.sharenavigator.ie

Hi there,

As our existing S&P 500 positions expire in full profit today, we are already shifting our focus to the next high-probability setup for next week.

We are currently preparing a trade on the S&P 500 at the 6500 strike. With the index currently trading near 6926, this setup is designed to generate income while providing a massive "margin of safety."

Why this is LOWER risk than buying stock

Most investors believe buying a stock is the "safest" way to play the market. However, if you buy the S&P 500 today, you lose money if the market drops even 1%. With our 6500 Put strategy, the market can drop significantly, and you still keep your profit.

Risk Management Comparison:

Our "3-Outs" Defense Plan

We don’t just "hope" the market stays up; we manage the trade using three layers of protection:

1. The Cushion: We win if the market goes up, stays flat, or falls by less than ~6%.
2. The 1% Alert: If the S&P 500 falls to within 1% of our strike (~6565), we take action. We "Roll" the position—moving it further out in time and lower in price to reset our safety buffer.
3. The Spread Option: For those who prefer "capped" risk, this trade can be turned into a Bull Put Spread. This defines your maximum "worst-case" scenario from day one.

Weekend Preparation: Master Your Platform

If you want to trade this with us next week, use the weekend to familiarize yourself with the strategies.
​
We have curated four short guides for the most both IBKR and IG Index:

Interactive Brokers (IBKR) Users:

• Short Put Course: Income Generation
• Bull Put Spread Course: Capped Risk

IG Index Users:

• Short Put Trading IG Index
• Bull Put Spreads on IG Index

🎓 Jargon Buster: The "Need to Know" Terms

If you are new to the community, don't let the technical terms slow you down. Here is a quick breakdown of what they mean in the context of this trade:

• Strike Price: Think of this as your "Safety Line." For our S&P 500 trade, the strike is 6500. As long as the market stays above this line, we keep our full profit.
• Short Put: This is a strategy where we act as the "Insurance Company." We collect a payment (premium) from someone else in exchange for agreeing to buy the index only if it falls below our 6500 safety line.
• Bull Put Spread: This is the "Capped Risk" version of a Short Put. By buying a second, lower-priced put (e.g., at 6400) alongside the one we sold, we put a hard limit on our maximum possible loss, no matter what the market does.
• Rolling a Trade: This is our "Reset Button." If the market gets too close to our safety line, we don't just take a loss. We close the current trade and open a new one further away in time and price. It gives us more "room to breathe" and keeps the trade alive.

📞 Strategy Call Assistance

If you require assistance with trade setup, risk management, or strategy review, please schedule a strategy call.

• PREMIUM Plan Members: Strategy calls are included in your plan.
• All Other Members: Strategy calls can be scheduled at a rate of €100 per half hour.

Please note: This is an educational exercise using a demo account. Share Navigator does not provide financial advice.

Happy Investing

Share Navigator Support

www.sharenavigator.ie

Hi there,

US 500 Put Expiration ✅

Excellent news to close out the week! Our short 6500 Put is expiring worthless today. Because we sold this option, the zero value secures our full profit of circa 2.5%. The position will drop off the account automatically—no manual closing trades are necessary. Same with XSP/SPY. We generated an ROI of 1.3% in just 10 days!

🏆 Active Trade Tracker

• US 500 (IG): +2.50% Tax Free Expiring Today
• S&P 500 (IBKR): +1.30% Expiring Today
• TLT (Bonds): +0.33% (Target: 1.00%) | Steady support

META: Why We’re Holding After the Post-Earnings Pop

We are pleased to report that our investment in META is now up 26% just three months after our initial entry. Following an impressive 8% post-earnings surge, we remain firmly committed to our position.

While Q4 earnings were excellent, management’s aggressive AI spending forecast for 2026 may lead to a period of "digestion" in the share price over the coming weeks. We view any potential retracement not as a red flag, but as a gift for those who missed the initial move.

The Outlook:

• New Price Target: $846 (representing 14.5% further upside).
• Forward Momentum: With sales and EPS forecasts likely to be revised upward by the Street in the coming weeks, we anticipate our target price may climb even higher.

We have no intention of selling; the long-term AI thesis is only getting stronger.

🚀 Portfolio Spotlight: Alphabet (GOOGL)

We want to highlight Alphabet (GOOGL), which is now up 121% since we bought it last May.

• The Strategy: While we are approaching our target selling price, we will continue to hold. We foresee further analyst upgrades to both price targets and sales estimates as Gemini 3 and the Apple AI partnership scale.
• Earnings Watch: Alphabet reports earnings next Wednesday, February 4. We are riding this higher, but if any pullback occurs after earnings, we would view it as a prime buying opportunity.
• Note: We would not be buyers of the stock at these current record-high prices.

📋 Long-Term Buy Watchlist Update

• Watchlist Changes: We are removing AMD, ANET, and CCL from our watchlist. Their share prices have jumped significantly; we didn't pull the trigger early enough, and they have moved up too much for our current entry criteria. We are replacing them with NVDA.
• Current Watchlist: NVDA, CRM, ORCL, PYPL.
• DELL Update: A major update on DELL. The stock has now broken out of its recent short-term downtrend. We believe DELL offers great value below $120 and, provided it remains outside that downtrend, we intend to initiate a position early next week.

Reminder: This watchlist is for high-quality companies we are getting ready to buy for our long-term portfolio (more than 3 years), but we are not ready to act on them just yet as we wait for technical downtrends to exhaust.

Market Review for Thursday, January 29, 2026

Overview: The day was defined by "AI spend anxiety." While Microsoft beat earnings, investors punished its heavy AI capex. Conversely, Meta’s AI-driven ad growth sent its stock soaring. In commodities, a "flash crash" in metals saw gold and silver drop 10% from record highs in a single hour of chaotic profit-taking.

🏛️ FX & Crypto Review

• EUR/USD: Eased slightly to 1.1965 as the Dollar found late-day support.
• Bitcoin (BTC): Plunged -5.5% to $84,000, dragging the sector lower.
• XRP: Remained under pressure, consolidating below $1.90.

📈 Major Indices & Commodities

• S&P 500: Slipped -0.13%, closing at 6,969.01.
• Nasdaq Composite: Fell -0.72%, finishing at 23,685.12.
• Dow Jones Industrial Average: Inched up +0.11%, closing at 49,071.56.
• Gold: Highly volatile; hit $5,600 before a flash crash to settle near $5,400.
• Silver: Retreated from $121 to settle at $116.00.
• WTI Crude Oil: Jumped +4.0% to $65.60 on rising US-Iran tensions.

🎟️ The Golden Ticket Referral (Exclusive Extension)

Success is better shared. Because we value customer loyalty above all else, we want to give your friends a head start that isn't available to the general public.

Normally, we offer a 1-week trial. However, because they are referred by a member like you, we are increasing their Free Trial from 1 week to 4 weeks (a €99 value) on the Pro Plan.

Note: This extended 4-week trial is exclusive to referrals. It is our way of rewarding the community and ensuring your friends have enough time to see the results of our high-probability trades.

• For Them: 4 Weeks of Pro Mentoring for FREE (No credit card required).
• For You: €99 OFF your next renewal once they join.

👉 https://buy.stripe.com/6oEcNid72fNIeJydQZ

📞 Strategy Call Assistance

If you require assistance with trade setup, risk management, or strategy review, please schedule a strategy call.

• PREMIUM Plan Members: Strategy calls are included in your plan.
• All Other Members: Strategy calls can be scheduled at a rate of €100 per half hour.

Happy Investing

Share Navigator Support

www.sharenavigator.ie