Air cargo shippers opt for short-term contracts as tariffs escalate
Source: SupplyChainDive, Reuters, Freightwaves
Airfreight Rates – Baltic Exchange Airfreight Index
Source: Air Cargo News
Baltic Exchange Airfreight Index (BAI) powered by TAC Data
Rates are based on spot and contract prices provided by freight forwarders
Chinese freight ship traffic to busiest U.S. ports, Los Angeles, Long Beach, sees steep drop
Import and export volumes processed at U.S. ports
Total monthly TEUs (Jan. 2022–March 2025)
Source: CNBC, freightwaves
Ocean Freight Rate Movement (Market Average) in the Past 3 Months
Source: Xeneta
Slump in Shanghai spot rates may be taste of what's to come for air cargo e-commerce volumes
Air cargo demand slows to low single-digit amid growing trade uncertainties
Source: Xeneta
Airfreight Rates – Baltic Exchange Airfreight Index
Source: Air Cargo News
Baltic Exchange Airfreight Index (BAI) powered by TAC Data
Rates are based on spot and contract prices provided by freight forwarders
The Geopolitical Shift in Maritime Trade
Chinese firms are stakeholders in more than a quarter of Africa's ports
Chinese firms are active stakeholders in an estimated 78 of 231 African commercial ports. This is a significantly greater presence than anywhere else in the world. Access to African ports gives China the opportunity to establish strategic maritime and military operations on the continent. This push for development is driven by commercial demand, as Africa has the lowest share of shipping trade and vast untapped resources, making it a prime market for investment.
Transshipment along the West African coast is seeing a strategic increase in volume as Europe-Asia sailings avoid Red Sea risks by routing around the Cape of Good Hope.
Since June 2022, the average vessel size to West Africa has increased by 50%. Shipping lines are deploying larger vessels, with the largest exceeding 16,000 TEU. Since January 2024, 26 vessels of 15,000 TEU and above have been deployed for trades to West Africa, with 22 operated by MSC on standalone services across four routes
Ports in Africa developed or affiliated with China
Source: Sea Intelligence, Yahoo, Frieghtnews
Ocean Freight Rate Movement (Market Average) in the Past 3 Months
Source: Xeneta
A Slower Than Expected Start To 2025 As Air Cargo Faces A ‘Waiting Game’ Amidst Fears Of Tariff Trade War
Global air cargo demand, supply, load factor and freight rate developments
Source: PayloadAsia
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Post-Red Sea: Major demand drop in Asia-Europe
Asia to North Europe short- and long-term rates converging
(short-term contracts of 32 days or less, long-term contracts of 88 days or more, and long-term contracts signed in the last three months)
Uncertainty over the resumption of Red Sea transits is prompting Asia-North Europe carriers to offer discounts of up to 22%. Despite concerns, carriers believe they can manage overcapacity through increased scrapping and slower vessel speeds.
Source: SeaIntelligence, JOC, JOC-2, ShippingWatch
Xeneta: Global Congestion is building
Global congestion in container shipping
(Million TEU (LH-axis), % share (RH-axis)
Source: Xeneta
Air cargo demand seen growing 4-6% in 2025
International CTK by airline region of registration, YOY, %
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Connectivity increases benefit major ports
Average Global Connectivity
(LeftL Top-100 tiered Right: Bottom-100 tiered)
Source: Container News, Gocomet, China Daily
Growth in air cargo demand to decelerate in 2025, IATA says
Source: freightwave, aircargonews
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Asia-US container spot rates spiking to year-end highs
Platts container rate North Asia to US Coasts USD per FEU
Source: JOC, seatrade-maritime
Cathay cargo carried up 14% in Oct on Expert, Priority demand
Source: Cathay Pacific, Stattimes-1, Stattimes-2_________________________________________
US-only supply chains will emerge under Trump: PIIE economist
Ocean container rates surged over 70% in 2018 following Trump's tariffs on Chinese imports, significantly altering the global shipping landscape.
Source: Supply Chain Dive, Supply Chain Brain, CNBC-1, CNBC-2, MSN, Industry Week
Europe and Americas record air cargo sales declines in 2024, while Asia, Middle East and Africa see strong growth
Source: WorldACD_________________________________________
US export market navigating ‘disruptive’ peak season amid ag shipment growth
The spot rate trend for USEC/USWC to North Asia
Source: JOC
Air freight peak season surge amid tightening capacity
Source: Metro, TheLoadStar
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Asia-US East Coast spot rates plummet amid strike threat cargo diversions
Total monthly TEU volume o FUSEC containerized imports, with yoy change
Source: JOC
Air cargo market will remain buoyant in second half of 2024
Shippers and freight forwarders lean towards longer-term contracts
Source: stattimes
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Capacity boost on trans-Pacific pushes carriers to compete for cargo
Container rate from North Asia to US East and West coasts in USD/FEU
Source: JOC
Big capacity boost for Latin American-related services
Global fleet deployment by trade and yearly comparison
Source: Alpahliner 2024-27